Russia: BBC Sent Wrong Boy To Volga!

Hello,

Sometimes I see things that are very wrong & I have found something that BBC is doing that falls into this category!

BBC has sent a reporter into Russia to make a road trip. This trip is to find out about the things that are wrong with Russia…. (below a quote from Rupert Wingfield-Hayes)
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“However, the trip was never supposed to be a pleasure cruise. We set out to try and look at some of the major problems confronting Russia, and that may be why I came across as sounding rather negative. It is, I suppose, in the nature of journalists to look for the dark underbelly.” said, Rupert Wingfield-Hayes
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This trip started out with a reporter that basically lambasted Russia for her many faults & was incredibly negative about the trip through Russia! The reporters attitude was summed up in the quote above. Then as the complaints about the story, started pouring into BBC, the attitude of the reporter had a significant turnaround. The last story even had a question answer session, where the reporter tried to correct statements of negativity from earlier articles. This question & answer session was too late the damage has been done.

This is what I constantly struggle with: The media from Europe and America put Russia down every chance they get! The media wants the world to think Russia is a bad place……

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7230502.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7226848.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7217149.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7213397.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7234960.stm
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7241042.stm

I feel that this trip was started to degrade Russia, Britain has a problem with thinking that they are better than Russia!

I think that someone from Russia should do a road trip in England to: “set out to try and look at some of the major problems confronting Britain!” They could: look for the dark underbelly”

Kyle & Svet

comments always welcome.

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This Is Something That Two Super Powers Can Be Proud Of!

America Ranked 1st in Spam,
Russia Ranked 2nd in Spam!

Hello,

I found this interesting & thought I would pass it on.
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Russia emerged as the second spam superpower in the last quarter of 2007, yielding only to the United States in this traffic, said the report released at the web of Sophos, the IT and security control firm.
Under the Sophos latest report on the top spam-relaying countries, the United States is still the global leader in this indicator, accounting for 21.3 percent of spam traffic. Russia is the second with its 8.3 percent. It finally outpaced China, which managed to reduce spam messages to 4.2 percent and sink to the third position.

China is followed by Brazil, South Korea, Turkey, Italy, Poland, Germany, Spain, Mexico and Britain. Overall, those twelve spam-relaying countries account for 65 percent of global spam traffic.

Meanwhile, the Kaspersky Lab released its report on Russia’s spam traffic, claiming the spam share stepped up to 84.6 percent of all messages in January 2008. The lowest traffic (73.1 percent) was registered January 28, while the highest (97.3 percent) was noted on the first day of the year.
www.kommersant.com
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America better be careful or Russia will catch them and be the Spam Kings also! 🙂

Kyle

comments always welcome.

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Uncle Sam & The Bear!

Editorial:

The Cold War ended (1991) because the Soviet Union could no longer afford to fight it. With the collapse of the monetary system, so went the Soviet Empire. But now the inheritor of the Soviet Union (Russia) has money, long term money in the form of vast resources of natural materials. This money is once more building the military infrastructure that was the Soviet Union.

The Russian Bear, has returned with claws that are being resharpened.

From the West’s point of view, Russia is a bully using gas supplies as a tactic to control Europe & Putin’s threat to reside from nuclear arms control agreements. The West also looks at Russia as a “New Cold War!”

But the West has blinders on: America gloated over the Soviet collapse, The people in America celebrated this as a great victory for Democracy! The Capitalist world ascended upon the old Soviet Union looking to create a wonderful new Russia! Now that the Russians had a taste of the good life, they would dance to Uncle Sam’s tune.

Small problem, Russia (who really was the Soviet Union) does not dance to any one else’s tunes. It is the attitude of the West & the get rich quick schemes by the West (the West sought to profit from her humiliation.) that is now driving Russia back to being, well… Russia!

Russia dances to her own tune!

The US plan to put anti-missile missiles in Poland is rightly seen by the Bear as a threat. It is Uncle Sam that has jump started a new arms race, at a time when Russia can play on equal terms again.

Had the $100 barrel of oil happened to the Soviet Union & it had the tools Russia has now. The Soviet Union might not have disappeared. It was economic as much as moral and political decay that led to the collapse of the USSR economy in 1991.

If you are stupid enough to kick a bear while sleeping, you can expect it to bite.

Uncle Sam You should have woke the Bear gently……

Kyle Keeton

comments always welcome.

Russian News: February 12th, 2008!

RBC, 12.02.2008, Moscow 11:54:26.Today’s session on the Russian stock market opened with most traded securities rising 1.5 percent on average. On MICEX, Surgutneftegas was the top gainer, having surged 2.5 percent. The RTS index was up 0.5 percent at the opening and climbed 1.3 percent to top 1,940 points within the first 15 minutes of the session. The increase in Russian stocks can be attributed to the positive dynamics of US indices and a hike in global oil prices.Analysts note that, although another decline is possible on the Russian market, most stocks are likely to go up further, particularly those of Surgutneftegas, which are now undervalued.

RBC, 12.02.2008, Moscow 11:20:23.A Ukrainian delegation headed by the republic’s President Viktor Yushchenko will be arriving in Moscow today in order to participate in a second meeting of the intergovernmental commission jointly with Russia’s leader Vladimir Putin. A bilateral cooperation plan, as well as a number of documents on trade, economic, scientific, and technological cooperation are expected to be signed during the visit.

RBC, 12.02.2008, Moscow 10:09:48.Gazprom could start its natural gas supply reduction to Ukraine at 6 p.m. today. An agreement to this effect was reached during a meeting between the executives of Naftogaz of Ukraine and Gazprom on Monday, when the Russian gas holding’s President Alexei Miller held talks with the Chairman of the Executive Board of the Ukrainian state company Oleg Dubina at the Gazprom headquarters in Moscow regarding the payoff of Naftogaz’s debt for Russian gas supplied to Ukrainian consumers.

RBC, 12.02.2008, Moscow 09:54:31.During the second Russian-Indian trade and investment forum scheduled to start in Delhi on Tuesday, Russian Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov will discuss prospects of the implementation of new joint projects. The PM is also anticipated to take part in the opening ceremony of VTB Bank’s first office in New Delhi today. VTB was granted a license to launch a branch in the Indian capital on January 10, 2008. The Russian banking group currently boasts representations in 17 countries worldwide.

RBC, 12.02.2008, Barcelona 09:25:58.The Russian anti-virus software developer Kaspersky Lab’s share on the Western European anti-virus software market amounted to 5 percent in 2007, General Director Yevgeny Kaspersky told RBC, citing corporate estimates. Meanwhile, the lab ranked among the top three leaders in the retail segment in most countries. The company currently controls over 40 percent of the home anti-viral software market in Germany and Austria, around 50 percent in Russia, and 20 percent in Spain.

RBC, 11.02.2008, Moscow 17:23:20.Russian Post is to remain a state-owned company, IT and Communications Minister Leonid Reyman told journalists during a meeting of the ministry’s board today, adding that the ministry had yet to decide whether Russian Post needed to be converted into a state corporation or into a joint-stock company fully controlled by the government. Commenting on the possible deregulation of the postal sector, Reyman noted that if private-owned companies were allowed access to the market, it was necessary to ensure that Russian Post did not become an operator of its least efficient segments.

RBC, 11.02.2008, Moscow 15:06:40.Russia approved a write-off of 93 percent ($11.997bn) of Iraq’s debt totaling $12.9bn, according to a bilateral agreement signed at the Russian Finance Ministry today. Russia had assumed the commitment in accordance with the Paris Club decision. The agreement was signed by Russia’s Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin and Iraq’s Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari.

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Russia: Bear Paws?

Police at Khabarovsk airport in the Russian Far East have intercepted a shipping package!
The package, contained 16 bear paws with a black market value of over $1,000 each. The sender, from the city of Okhotka in the Khabarovsk Ter­ritory, has yet to be identified. This is the largest haul of bear paws in five years, a police source said on Wed­nesday.

Bear paws are one of the most expensive Chinese delicacies, served in luxury restaurants and used primarily in traditional Chinese medicine to treat anything from cancer to impotence.
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That is 4 Bears….
This upset me, I like Bears…..
I hope that they catch the people that did this!

Kyle

comments always welcome.

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Russia: Putins Speech!

Hello,

This is Putins last Speech from the:

February 8, 2008,
The Kremlin, Moscow

Speech at Expanded Meeting of the State Council on Russia’s Development Strategy through to 2020

PRESIDENT VLADIMIR PUTIN:

Citizens of Russia,

Colleagues,

As I come to the end of this second term in office as President of the Russian Federation I think that I should speak about what has been accomplished over these last years and set out our long-term vision of the future.

As you well remember, the country was in a very difficult situation eight years ago. We had gone through a default and people had seen their savings devalued. Terrorists unleashed a large-scale civil war before our very eyes, insolently invading Dagestan and blowing up homes in Russian cities.

But the people responded with neither despair nor fear. On the contrary, our people closed ranks and drew together. Not only our military but society itself rose up to defend Russia, to defend our territorial integrity. Doctors and teachers who had not been paid for months loyally performed their duties. Workers, engineers and businesspeople all continued their work, trying to haul the economy out of its state of stagnation and collapse.

People had a clear and sincere desire to make the state stronger and change the state of affairs in the country. Today, I would like once again to thank everyone who gave us their trust and support back then. I have always felt and seen this support very tangibly and without it we would not have been able to accomplish a thing.

It was the will of the people and their direct participation in Russia’s destiny that was the decisive force that enabled us to accomplish what we have over these last eight years….


* * *

I would like to take a closer look at the state the country was in during the second half of the 1990s and the beginning of this decade.

I remind you that the terrorists’ invasion of Dagestan was a direct consequence of Chechnya having essentially separated from Russia. We faced a situation where outside forces with an interest in weakening Russia and perhaps even bringing about its collapse were openly inciting the separatists.

In Chechnya itself a regime of terror was unleashed on the population, which saw civilians and religious authorities killed, a slave trade of which the local people were also victims, and hostage-taking. Emissaries from Al Qaeda oversaw terrorist training camps. The self-proclaimed ‘Congress of the Peoples of Ichkeria and Dagestan’ declared the goal of establishing a fundamentalist caliphate from the Black Sea to the Caspian.

Absolutely open preparations were going on to carry out aggression against Russia and seize its age-old territories.

What could we respond with?

Our armed forces were demoralized and not prepared for combat. Military servicemen received a pittance, which even then was not always paid on time. Equipment was becoming outdated at an alarming rate. Our defense industry, meanwhile, was choked by debts and its human resources and production base were shrinking.

Russia itself had become a ‘patchwork’ of territories. The majority of regions had laws that contradicted the Russian Constitution. Violations in some cases were simply flagrant. There were regions, for example, that defined their status as that of a ‘sovereign state associated with the Russian Federation’. Legal provisions were drawn up to justify the territorial claims regions held against each other. Let me remind you that there are more than 2,000 such disputed territories, and if we ever let ourselves be drawn into this carve-up in the future it would prove endless and would destroy the country. Just think: back then, you could be a citizen of one of the Russian regions but not be a citizen of Russia!

State power was ineffective. This was evident in the weakened state institutions and disregard for the law. Russian media outlets often acted in the interests of particular corporate groups, carrying out their economic and political orders.

A large part of the economy was in the hands of oligarchs or openly criminal organisations. Agriculture was in a state of serious crisis.

The country’s finances were exhausted and we were almost completely dependent on foreign borrowing. This was what ultimately led to the 1998 default, which ruined many businesses and fuelled poverty and unemployment.

Inflation ate away at people’s already low incomes. Inflation in 1999 was running at 36.5 percent. The beginning of 1999 also saw the peak of wage, pension and benefit arrears (some benefits were not being paid at all). Companies had wage arrears of up to two years.

Real incomes were only 40 percent of what they were in 1991, and pensions were even lower. The result was that almost a third of our population had incomes below the subsistence minimum.

What this means is that a third of our population had been left completely destitute.

The difficult economic and social situation and the loss of many reference values had dealt a severe psychological blow to our society. Social ills, corruption and crime all strengthened their hold. The demographic crisis also worsened. The birth rate fell and the death rate rose.

Wealthy Russia had become a land of impoverished people.

It was in these conditions that we began to draft and implement our plan, our plan to extract Russia from this systemic crisis. Above all, we began work on restoring constitutional order, restoring people’s basic social guarantees, and strengthening the state institutions.

Our guiding principle was that Russia’s recovery could not be carried out at the expense of the people and at a cost of even further difficulties in their lives. People had already gone through too many hardships and trials in the 1990s.

Through considerable effort we succeeded in ending the war in the North Caucasus. Separatism retreated and although terrorism remains an acute threat, we dealt it a decisive and crushing blow. Chechnya is now a full-fledged region within the Russian Federation. It has held democratic parliamentary and presidential elections and has adopted a regional constitution. Its economy and social sector are developing today.

We have re-established a common legal space in the country. Regional laws have been brought into line with federal legislation, which in its turn has undergone serious development, including the systematization of laws and the adoption of a whole series of codes.

Not only have we once more become a united country, but throughout these years we have worked purposefully to develop federal relations.

We have established a clear delimitation of powers between the federal, regional and local authorities. At the same time, we have transferred a large part of the responsibilities for social and economic development to the regional and local authorities and have ensured the corresponding financial and material base. This represents a substantial decentralisation of power. I know that there is still much to do, but we are now working in the right direction.

We have strengthened the material base and the real independence of the courts.

Throughout this period we have worked consistently on putting in place a stable and effective political system.

We have rid the country of the harmful practice that saw state decisions taken under pressure from commodities and financial monopolies, media magnates, foreign political circles and shameless populists, a practice that was not only detrimental to our national interests but that cynically ignored the basic needs of millions of people.

Now we can state with assurance that the time when people’s political rights were ignored is over.

We are doing everything possible to ensure that our citizens can exercise their rights in full through an effective system of responsible and honest government.

Finally, Russia has returned to the world stage as a strong state, a country that others heed and that can stand up for itself.

We have built up a substantial foreign policy capital that is now contributing to our country’s development and working to protect the interests of our people and our national business.

I would like to quote a few figures. Over these last eight years total investment in the Russian economy has grown not by percentage points but has risen seven-fold. During the preceding period, annual net capital outflow was from $10 billion and up to $25 billion. But in 2007, we had record capital inflow of $82.3 billion.

Stock market capitalization has undergone a fantastic 22-fold increase compared to 1999. In 2006, this indicator put us ahead of Mexico, India, Brazil and even South Korea, which has been showing very rapid growth. The stock market was worth $60 billion at the end of 1999, but by the end of 2007, it had risen to $1.330 trillion.

Russia’s foreign trade turnover has increased more then five-fold. More than 6 million Russian citizens go abroad every year.

All of these figures are evidence that Russia has entered a new era as a modern state that is open to the outside world, and open too to business and fair competition.

We have now completely restored the level of social and economic development that was lost in the 1990s. People’s real incomes now exceed their pre-reform levels. The economy is growing steadily.

Last year, we had our best GDP growth result yet – 8.1 percent. According to the figures for 2007 (according to international experts’ data), Russia is ahead of G8 countries such as Italy and France in terms of GDP as calculated on a purchasing parity basis, and is now one of the world’s seven biggest economies.

We have begun major projects in the energy sector, transport infrastructure, machine-building and housing construction. We are carrying out structural reform in the aircraft manufacturing and shipbuilding sectors. We have attracted substantial investment to the car industry and railway equipment sector.

We have established state corporations with big financial and organisational possibilities in the economic sectors most sensitive for the state. The situation is also improving in agriculture.

Our children will no longer have to pay our old debts. The state foreign debt has shrunk to 3 percent of GDP – one of the lowest ratios in the world.

We have built up substantial financial reserves that protect our country from external crises and guarantee that we will be able to meet our social commitments in the future.

Overall, we have established macroeconomic stability and ensured our country’s financial independence. As a result, Russia has witnessed a real investment and consumer boom over these last two years.

Real incomes have undergone a 2.5-fold increase over these last eight years and pensions have risen by almost the same amount. I am well aware of the inflation situation and the rising prices, but I repeat that real incomes have risen 2.5-fold. Unemployment and the level of poverty have undergone a more than two-fold decrease.

We have checked the falling birth rate and rising death rate. As you recall, we drafted a demographic program not long ago. Many doubted that the state investments this program called for would be of any use. Today I am happy to say that they have been of use. The birth rate grew faster last year than at time in the last 25 years, and more children were born in the country than were born over the last 15 years.

Positive changes are taking place in education, science and health care. The state has once again begun paying attention to national cultural issues.

New opportunities have opened up for developing professional and mass sports in the country. The selection of Sochi to host the 2014 Winter Olympics is confirmation not only of our sports and economic achievements but also of Russia’s growing international influence.

Our biggest achievement is the stability that enables us to make our plans, calmly go about our work and start our families. People once more have confidence that life will continue to change for the better.

I repeat that we have achieved all of this together. All of this is the fruit of our daily labor, this important work that has changed the lives of our citizens and changed our country itself, a country of which we are deservedly proud.

Colleagues,

We have indeed accomplished much over these last eight years and still … Still we cannot rest on our laurels and become complacent. We need to take an objective and realistic look at the situation and take a resolutely self-critical approach.

We now have the task of effectively using the experience and resources we have built up to move on to a new stage in our country’s development.

We have drawn up a budget and approved a concrete development plan for the period through to 2010. Now we need to look beyond this horizon – look at least 10 years ahead. This is why we are here today to discuss the long-term strategy that will take us through to 2020. This is a most important choice for our society, the choice of direction our country’s future development will take.

Although we have had some successes over these last years we have still not yet succeeded in breaking away from the inertia of development based on energy resources and commodities. There is nothing wrong with developing the energy sector and increasing commodities production, on the contrary, developing a modern energy sector, the best in the world, and creating high-technology enterprises in the mining and natural resources processing sectors are among our unquestionable priorities.

But even with the economic situation in our favor at the moment, we are still only making fragmentary attempts to modernize our economy. This inevitably increases our dependence on imported goods and technology and reinforces our role as a commodities base for the world economy. In the future, this could lead to us lagging behind the world’s big economic powers and could push us out from among the world leaders.

If we continue on this road we will not make the necessary progress in raising living standards. Moreover, we will not be able to ensure our country’s security or its normal development. We would be placing its very existence under threat. I say this without any exaggeration.

The only real alternative to this scenario is to follow a path of innovative development based on one of our biggest competitive advantages – realization of our human potential. We need to make full and effective use of people’s knowledge and skills so as to continuously improve technology, improve our economic results and raise the quality of life in our society in general.

But I want to make it absolutely clear that the pace of innovative development must be substantially faster than it is today.

Yes, this is the more complicated road. It is a more ambitious undertaking and it requires the state, the business community and the whole of society to make the utmost effort, but we really do not have a choice.

What choice can there be between the opportunity to become a leader in economic and social development, a leader in ensuring our national security, and the threat of losing our economic standing, losing our security and ultimately even losing our sovereignty?

Russia must become the country offering the best life, and I am sure that we can achieve this goal, not by sacrificing the present for some radiant future, but by working day by day to improve people’s lives.

The transition to an innovative development path calls above all for large-scale investment in human capital.

Human development is the main goal and essential condition for progress in modern society. This is our absolute national priority now and in the future.

Russia’s future and our success depend on people’s education and health and their desire to improve themselves and make use of their skills and talents. I am not saying this because presidential elections are just around the corner. This is not a campaign slogan. This is vital for our country’s development. Russia’s future depends on our citizens’ enthusiasm for innovation and on the fruit of the labors of each and every individual.

Developing the national education system is a key part of global competition and one of the most important values in life. Russia has everything: a wealth of traditions and the immense potential needed to make our education system, from schools to universities, one of the best in the world.

The education system should encompass the most up-to-date knowledge and technology. In the coming years we will need to make the transition to a new generation of education standards that meet the needs of the modern innovative economy. The Education Ministry is working now on these standards. I would like discussion on these standards to take place in society as a whole. What we need are modern standards.

The education sector should serve as the base for expanding scientific work. Science, in its turn, has substantial educational potential. We need to provide assistance to talented young people actively engaged in research work, help them to integrate successfully into the scientific and innovative environment.

We are in third place in the world for the number of scientists and we are one of the world leaders for state spending on science, but we are still a long way from the lead in terms of results. This is a direct consequence of insufficient interaction between scientific and educational organisations, the state and the business community, and insufficient private investment in science.

The state must encourage the business community to invest in research and development. The increasing state resources invested in science must be used as effectively as possible and concentrated on fundamental and cutting-edge areas of research, above all in areas that are crucial for our national security and our people’s health.

One in every two men in our country does not live to see the age of 60 today. This is a disgrace. Our population is declining with every passing year.

I think that we will succeed in stabilizing the population over the coming 3-4 years, although some of our experts, including in the Government, forecast that this would be possible only in 10-12 years time.

We need to do everything in our power to bring about a more than 1.5-fold reduction in the death rate, and to raise the average life expectancy to 75 years by 2020.

This calls for serious systemic change to the way our health care system is organised. It also calls for modernization of our health care facilities and a quality improvement in human resources in the health care sector.

We need to create the conditions that will give people the possibility and the desire to look after their own health through disease prevention and getting involved in physical culture and sport.

Of course, we also need an effective family support policy. The important decisions and new measures we have taken lay the foundations for this policy. One of our most important tasks is that of building housing and putting in place the conditions that will enable people to find independent solutions to their housing issues.

We must also remember that economic growth and rising incomes will create increased demand for education and health care services. For these sectors to be able to meet growing public demand, the main criteria for financing must be the quality and amount of services they provide.

We need to make more active use of tax mechanisms to encourage investment in developing human capital. This requires us to exempt from taxation as much as possible companies’ and citizens’ spending on education, medical insurance, and co-financed pension schemes.

We need to ensure that all of our country’s citizens, using their knowledge and skills, and with the state’s help where needed, have the possibility of receiving quality education, looking after their health, buying a home and receiving a decent income, attaining the living standards of the middle class, in other words. I think that the middle class should make up at least 60 percent and perhaps even 70 percent of our society by 2020.

We need to begin closing the income gap right now. The 15-fold income gap that we currently have is unacceptable. But this does not mean that there should not be incentives for professional and creative self-realization. We do not want a system that pulls everyone down to the lowest common denominator.

Russia must become the leader in terms of possibilities for career growth and opportunities for people to raise their own social and material status over the course of their lives. Russia must be the leader in encouraging talent and success.

All who want to work should have the chance of earning a decent wage, and the chance too to save enough money to maintain their standard of living after retirement.

At the same time, it is very important that today’s pensioners and disabled people, who do not have such opportunities, receive decent pensions and benefits.

Finally, while on the subject of high living standards, we must also not forget about personal and public security in the broadest sense, security that ensures reliable protection of people’s lives and property, a safe and clean environment, safety in the transport and housing and utilities sectors and effective prevention of man-made disasters.

Of course, in our work to develop human capital we should also draw on the wealth of Russian culture and on its unique achievements and traditions.

All of this together constitutes a society that offers real and equal opportunities, a society without poverty, a society that guarantees the safety of all its citizens. Creating this society should be our goal and I am sure that we succeed in our objective.

Colleagues,

We face new and even more complicated economic policy issues today.

The Russian economy’s biggest problem today is that it is extremely ineffective. labor productivity in Russia remains very low. We have the same labor costs as in the most developed countries but the return is several times lower. This situation is all the more dangerous when global competition is increasing and the cost of qualified labor and energy resources is also on the rise.

Carrying out innovative development will enable us to substantially increase labour productivity. The main sectors of the Russian economy need to achieve at least a four-fold increase in labour productivity over the next 12 years.

In our work to make our economy radically more effective we also need to put in place incentives and conditions for progress in a whole number of different directions. This calls above all for the creation of a national innovative system based on all of the different state and private institutions supporting innovation.

This also calls for strengthening and expanding our natural advantages. We need to develop the basic sectors of our economy, including natural resources processing, and we need to make use of our energy, transport and agricultural potential.

This calls for large-scale modernization of production facilities in all economic sectors. This requires a completely new quality of business management and completely new technology, above all machines and equipment. In most cases, the best technology is energy effective and energy conserving technology, economical and environmentally friendly technology.

One of the most important areas is that of developing new sectors that are able to compete globally, above all the high technology sectors that are leaders in the ‘knowledge economy’, in aircraft manufacturing, shipbuilding and energy. This also requires us to develop information, medical and other new technology.

We must continue our work to build new and modernize existing roads, railway stations, ports, airports, electricity stations and communications systems.

It is essential to develop the financial infrastructure and bring it up to a level that meets the economy’s growing demands. Ultimately, Russia must become one of the world’s financial centres. Given our gold and foreign currency reserves (which stood at a little over $484 billion a few days ago), this would be a natural development. Incidentally, silly rumours are going round that the rouble is going to be re-denominated. This is complete nonsense. In the current situation it would be foolish and impossible.

Overall, we need to develop market institutions and competitive environment that will motivate companies to cut costs, modernize production and respond flexibly to consumer demand.

We need to create thousands of jobs for highly qualified workers, jobs that make use of people’s intellectual potential.

At the same time, the state must be active in helping people to change profession, find employment or start up their own business. This depends directly on establishing an effective system of ongoing learning and professional training and re-training. It also depends on creating a comfortable environment for small businesses. At the moment, small businesses work in very difficult conditions. It is awful what federal bodies in the regions with the support of regional and local authorities do. One can not start one’s business for months. People have to give bribes in every controlling institution – fire prevention, environmental services, medical permissions – you need to go to all of them, and it’s just terrible.

I will repeat, in our work in these various specific areas of social and economic policy we need to concentrate our efforts on resolving three key problems.

First: give everyone equal opportunities.

Second: create the motivation for innovative behavior.

Third: radically increase the economy’s effectiveness, above all through raising labour productivity.

If we succeed in achieving these objectives Russia will join the ranks of the world’s technological leaders.

Clearly, achieving these goals places new demands on public administration. The state needs to set clear development objectives and establish a goal-oriented system. Real results in building an innovative society should be the main evaluation criteria for the state’s overall performance.

But the state system today is weighed down by bureaucracy and corruption and does not have the motivation for positive change, much less dynamic development.

We need to do away with the excessive administrative pressure on the economy that has become one of the biggest brakes on development.

We need to establish competitive conditions for attracting the best and the brightest into the civil service, and make them more accountable to society.

One of the biggest problems in state management today is the excessive centralisation. The Government takes months and even years to take even the most elementary decisions. Formally speaking, everything is carried out correctly, according to the rules, but this is a case when the whole procedure, the order itself, lead to an absurd.

The Government should be the center for coming up with the ideology and the strategic plans. It should approve federal programs with clearly defined objectives, evaluation criteria and amounts of resources required, but it should not get involved in all the particularities and get bogged down in all the minute details.

The ministries should really manage the resources entrusted to them and independently issue the legal acts necessary for this work, as indeed was the initial plan of administrative reform.

The hallmarks of tomorrow’s public administration system should be independence and responsibility, dynamic movement forward, adherence to the country’s general development principles, effective resource use, bold and original decisions, support for initiative and innovation, a healthy flow of human resources, competence and broad horizons.

This approach should be the foundation not only for the state administration system but for the entire public sector and for all enterprises under the control of the state and local authorities.

The public sector employs around 25 million people (more than a third of the total workforce). This sector receives trillions of rubles in state investment and current state expenditure. We must therefore work in constant and purposeful fashion to improve performance in the public sector, which forms the backbone of the state as a whole.

It is also clear that the state cannot support and does not need such an enormous public sector. These numerous establishments and organizations should be able to work in a market environment and receive payment for their results and not simply for the fact that they exist. Their managers should bear personal responsibility for the quality of management.

We need to make use of the possibilities that exist for bringing private capital into the state sector, whether in industry or in the social sector.

A private company motivated to be effective will often be better manager than a government official who doesn’t always have an idea what is efficient management and what the effect must be.

We also need to simplify the tax system and minimize possibilities for arbitrary interpretation of the law. We need to introduce tax incentives for innovative development. Overall, we need to work towards further reducing the tax burden and setting a single VAT rate that is as low as possible.

We need to continue our work to establish an independent and effective judiciary that unquestionably guarantees entrepreneurs’ rights, including the right to protection from arbitrary action by bureaucrats.

Finally, the state must ensure it has sufficient instruments at its disposal to ensure macroeconomic stability even in an unstable situation on world markets.

The result of this work will be to establish in Russia a competitive and comfortable environment for investment (above all in the high-technology sectors) and for doing business.

Implementation of an effective regional policy is one of the most important areas of modernizing state administration.

Today we see increasing social and economic disparity between the different regions, and there are more regions at the bottom of the scale than at the top. The disparity between regions for most of the main parameters is phenomenal, in some cases a dozens-fold gap.

We need to work over these coming years to implement a new stage in regional policy aimed at ensuring not just formal but real equality between the different regions. Each region should have the resources it needs to ensure decent standards of living for its people and carrying out comprehensive development and diversification of its economy.

The development of new social and economic development centers in the Volga region, the Urals, Southern Russia, Siberia and the Far East has an important part to play in this work, as do the creation of a network of innovative regional production centers and the improvement of the transport and energy infrastructure.

I am convinced that only a balanced regional policy will enable us to ensure harmonious development throughout the country as a whole.

Colleagues,

The desire of millions of our citizens for individual freedom and social justice is what defines the future of Russia’s political system. The democratic state should become an effective instrument for civil society’s self-organization.

This is work that will unfold over a period of years, work that will continue with the help of educational activity and the cultivation of a culture of civic spirit. Raising the role of non-governmental organizations, human rights ombudsmen and public councils will contribute to this work, as will the development of a multi party system in Russia.

Russia’s future political system will be centered on several large political parties that will have to work hard to maintain or affirm their leading positions, be open to change and broaden their dialogue with the voters.

Political parties must not forget their immense responsibility for Russia’s future, for the nation’s unity and for our country’s stable development.

No matter how fierce the political battles and no matter how irreconcilable the differences between parties might be, they are never worth so much as to bring the country to the brink of chaos.

Irresponsible demagogy and attempts to divide society and use foreign help or intervention in domestic political struggles are not only immoral but are illegal. They belittle our people’s dignity and undermine our democratic state.

Finally, Russia’s political system must not only be in accordance with our national political culture but should develop together with it. Then it will be both flexible and stable.

No matter what their differences, all of the different public forces in the country should act in accordance with one simple but essential principle: do nothing that would damage the interests of Russia and its citizens and act only for Russia’s good, act in its national interests and in the interest of the prosperity and security of all its people.

I cannot but say a few words about Russia’s security and defense capability, and also about our foreign policy strategy. They all depend in large part on the level of economic and social development in our country.

It is now clear that the world has entered a new spiral in the arms race. This is does not depend on us and it is not we who began it. The most developed countries, making use of their technological advantages, are spending billions on developing next-generation defensive and offensive weapons systems. Their defense investment is dozens of times higher than ours.

We have complied strictly with our obligations over these last decades and are fulfilling all of our obligations under the international security agreements, including the Conventional Forces in Europe [CFE] Treaty. But our NATO partners have not ratified certain agreements, are not fulfilling their obligations, but nevertheless demand continued unilateral compliance from us. NATO itself is expanding and is bringing its military infrastructure ever closer to our borders. We have closed our bases in Cuba and Vietnam, but what have we got in return? New American bases in Romania and Bulgaria, and a new missile defense system with plans to install components of this system in Poland and the Czech Republic soon it seems.

We are told that these actions are not directed against Russia, but we have received no constructive responses to our completely legitimate concerns.

There has been a lot of talk on these matters, but it is with sorrow in my heart that I am forced say that our partners have been using these discussions as information and diplomatic cover for carrying out their own plans. We have still not seen any real steps to look for a compromise. We are effectively being forced into a situation where we have to take measures in response, where we have no choice but to make the necessary decisions.

Russia has a response to these new challenges and it always will.

Russia will begin production of new types of weapons over these coming years, the quality of which is just as good and in some cases even surpasses those of other countries. At the same time, our spending on these projects will be in keeping with our possibilities and will not be to the detriment of our social and economic development priorities.

The use of new technology also calls for a rethinking of strategy in the way our Armed Forces are organised. After all, new breakthroughs in bio-, nano- and information technology could lead to revolutionary changes in weapons and defense.

Only an army that meets the most modern demands can be entrusted with the deployment, servicing and use of new generation weapons. The human factor is becoming more important than ever. What we need is an innovative army, an army based on the very highest modern standards of professionalism, technical breadth of horizon and competence.

To achieve this, we need to make military service more prestigious, continue to raise wages for servicemen, provide them with better social protection and resolve their housing problems.

Overall, strengthening our national security requires a new strategy for developing the Armed Forces through to 2020, a strategy that takes into account the challenges and threats to our country’s interests today.

Today’s world is not becoming any simpler. On the contrary, it is becoming ever more complicated and tougher. We have seen how the lofty slogans of freedom and an open society are sometimes used to destroy the sovereignty of a country or an entire region. We have seen how, behind a veneer of clamorous rhetoric about free trade and investment, the most developed countries step up their protectionist policies.

A fierce battle for resources is unfolding, and the whiff of gas or oil is behind many conflicts, foreign policy actions and diplomatic demarches.

In this context, it is understandable that the world should be showing growing interest in Russia and in Eurasia in general. God was generous in giving us natural resources. The result is that we are running up against repeats of the old ‘deterrence’ policy more and more often. But what this usually boils down to, essentially, are attempts to impose unfair competition on us and secure access to our resources.

It is essential to remain steadfast and firm in such a situation, to avoid being drawn into costly confrontation or a new arms race that would be destructive for our economy and disastrous for our country’s domestic development.

Our choice is clear. Russia is a reliable partner for the entire international community in resolving global problems. We are interested in mutually beneficial cooperation in all areas – in security, science, energy, and in tackling climate change.

We are interested in being as involved as possible in global and regional integration and in close trade, economic and investment cooperation, in developing high technology and making it a part of our everyday lives. This is all in accordance with our strategic goals. If we want to achieve our national goals we need a peaceful and positive international relations agenda. And we will pursue this course

I stress that we have no intention of trying to take anything away from anyone else. We are a self-sufficient country. And we have no intention either of closing ourselves off from the outside world and living in isolation.

I am certain that an independent, pragmatic and responsible policy will enable Russia to strengthen its international authority as a reliable and honest partner.

Colleagues,

Today we are deciding one of the most important issues for Russia’s future – defining its development strategy through to 2020. It is clear that only a consolidated society can fully carry out such a strategy. This means that our long-term references must be clear to everyone and must have the support of our citizens.

I think it is extremely important that our national development plans should be discussed at every level of society and that all society’s institutions should be involved. And there must be some tangible result of these discussions. Ultimately, this process will result in the Government’s approval of a concept for national social and economic development through to 2020 and a concrete action plan in all of the different areas I outlined. We need a step-by-step plan in each of these different areas.

Russia has already proved in the past that it can achieve what others thought impossible. In the post-war years we accomplished industrial development and were the first to enter outer space.

Over these last years, we have confidently come back, we have worked to restore the country after the chaos, economic ruin and breakdown of the old system that we saw in the 1990s.

Furthermore, Russia’s GDP increased by 72 percent over 2000-2007. If we keep up this kind of annual growth of 7.8 percent, we could double our GDP by the end of next year.

But today, we are setting an even more ambitious goal, that of bringing about fundamental change in our lives, the quality of life in our country and in its economy.

Russia is a land of hardworking and educated people who want to be leaders and have always had the thirst for victory in their national character. We have always sought to be free and independent.

Russia has immense national resources and great scientific potential.

Russia has a clear understanding of how it can use these resources to reach the new and ambitious goals we have set.

There is not a single serious reason that should prevent us from reaching our goals. Not one!

I am absolutely convinced that our country will succeed in consolidating its position as one of the world leaders and that our citizens will live decent lives.

Thank you for your attention.

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Why Did I Try To Walk Into Russia With A Box Of Ammunition?

Hello,

I ask again, “Why would any one bring undeclared ammunition into Russia?”

I finally found an update on, Pastor Phillip Miles of Christ Community Church in Conway, South Carolina. I wrote an article about him last week. (LINK: Why would anyone bring ammunition into Russia!)

Now it looks as though the situation is what it seems: Miles will be held for at least 60 days as charges of smuggling & trafficking are investigated. If evidence is found against him he could spend up to 7 years in prison, in Russia!

To us Americans it seems to be a case of, “Bad Russia!” But I have lived here two years now & I see a different side to what has happened!

There is more to this situation than the Pastor’s support group from within & outside of Russia is telling….. This situation will spread to the missionary in Russia! I hope the friend that he tried to bring ammunition in for has a legal right to have a rife in Russia?

Russia is no different than America on these type of rules. If you were Russian (or anyone) and tried to cross American borders with undeclared ammunition……. (follow the rules)
http://www.biggamehunt.net/sections/Firearm/
http://studenttravel.about.com/od/getontheroad
http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/12735
http://www.dhs.gov/index.shtm
http://www.cbp.gov/

“This website will be updated any time we receive official news about the status of this case. If you hear or read anything about this case that contradicts information on this website, please disregard it.

Read more for the article:
=================================
MOSCOW, RUSSIA (ANS) — A South Carolina pastor detained in Russia early this week after bringing hunting bullets into the country while on a mission trip will be held in a prison there for 60 days while prosecutors investigate smuggling and trafficking charges against him.

A story written by Robert Morris of The Sun News, Myrtle Beach, South Carolina, said that after a formal hearing Friday in Moscow, Pastor Phillip Miles of Christ Community Church in Conway, South Carolina, will be moved from a temporary airport detainment facility to a prison for the investigation, according to David Aylor, Miles’ nephew and a Charleston attorney.

Two Russian attorneys are representing the pastor and the U.S. Embassy is monitoring the situation, but the case is essentially in the Russian prosecutors’ hands for two months, Aylor said.

“He’s at the mercy of the Russian justice system,” Aylor said. “It’s basically at a standstill at this point.”

Morris said that if the case goes forward and Miles is convicted, he faces three to seven years in prison for the smuggling-ammunition charge or up to four years for trafficking in ammunition, said Nicole Thompson, a U.S. State Department spokeswoman.

He went on to say, “Miles’ imprisonment began earlier this week as he prepared to return from a mission trip to the city of Perm, at the foot of a mountain range that borders Siberia. On his way into the country in late January, Russian authorities confiscated a box of hunting-rifle bullets, but allowed him to continue his trip.”

“It was a something that was brought as a gift to the Siberian preacher,” Aylor said. “It was something you or I could get from any local ammunition carrier in the United States.”

On his way back through the Moscow airport this week, however, Miles was prevented from returning to the United States as Russian authorities questioned him further. Even after the newly imposed 60 days are up, prosecutors can ask for more time to investigate, Aylor said.

“While the church is disappointed with this temporary setback, we are encouraged that Pastor Miles’ reputation of integrity and character will ultimately lead to his freedom,” read a statement posted on the church’s Web site. “Friends in Russia have told the church that his spirits remain high and that those around him have been very impressed with his attitude and demeanor during this difficult time.”

The story said that there has been no indication that Miles’ arrest is related to his missionary work, Aylor said. The Russian Orthodox Church is the dominant religion in Russia, and the State Department’s 2007 report on International Religious Freedom describes a slight decline in some groups’ right to worship in the country, but no particular pattern of harassment against foreign missionaries or evangelical groups was reported.

Because the U.S. Embassy is closely involved in the case, family members are not concerned that any harm will come to Miles in the prison, Aylor said. The pastor, who has a wife and three grown children in Horry County and other close family members throughout the state, has been able to call home since his arrest.

“Considering, he’s in good spirits,” Aylor said. “He’s a man of faith. He knows the Lord will lead him through this.”

Morris wrote, “Miles’ arrest made the front page of the English-language daily Moscow Times, a 35,000-circulation newspaper read by expatriates in the city. The newspaper cites several other international smuggling cases – including those of Soviet-era medals, rare Soviet posters and a turn-of-the-century crucifix – none of which led to prison time.”

“We all come up with crazy ideas for a gift,” wrote Justin Miles, the pastor’s son, in a letter to the Russian newspaper. “Please forgive my father for his mistake.”

An updated posted on the church web site on Friday, February 8, 2008, at www.christcommunitychurchonline.com says:

“A formal hearing was held in Pastor Miles’ case in Moscow on February 8th.

“At the hearing, the State requested that it be given an additional 60 days to complete its investigation of this case. The request was granted by the court. As a result, Pastor Miles will be held in jail in Moscow during the course of the investigation. While the church is disappointed with this temporary setback, we are encouraged that Pastor Miles’ reputation of integrity and character will ultimately lead to his freedom.

“The United States Embassy in Moscow is monitoring this situation and has sent representatives to visit with Pastor Miles. They assure us that he is being treated well and remains in good physical condition. Friends in Russia have told the church that his spirits remain high and that those around him have been very impressed with his attitude and demeanor during this difficult time.
=================================

U.S. Pastor To Be Held For Two Months for Investigation

By David Nowak

Staff Writer

MOSCOW — A Moscow court has ordered a U.S. pastor to remain in detention for two months while prosecutors investigate him on suspicion of smuggling ammunition into the country, a U.S. Embassy spokeswoman said Sunday.

Phillip Miles, a pastor of the Christ Community Church in Conway, South Carolina, was detained at Sheremetyevo Airport on Feb. 3, days after rifle rounds were discovered in his luggage.

Miles remained on Sunday in the airport holding cell where he was taken after being detained, the spokeswoman said, speaking on customary condition of anonymity.

At Friday’s hearing, the Golovinsky District Court, which has jurisdiction over Sheremetyevo, ordered Miles be moved to a different, “interim facility,” the spokeswoman said. It was unclear when that would happen.

“After [Friday’s] preliminary hearing, Miles remains in detention on charges that may include trafficking, with a potential sentence of a monetary fine or four years imprisonment, and smuggling, with a potential sentence of three to seven years,” the spokeswoman said.

Airport officials seized the ammunition when Miles entered Russia on Jan. 29. Officials allowed Miles to continue on his trip to Perm, where he met fellow church members, on the proviso that he check in with them at Sheremetyevo on the way back to the United States.

When he did, he was detained on suspicion of smuggling the ammunition, which he admitted he failed to declare, as required by law, according to friends.

The bullets were a gift for a pastor in Perm, who was a fellow hunting enthusiast, according to the embassy spokeswoman and Miles’ associates.

Neither the law enforcement body that detained Miles nor the location of the court could be established as of Sunday. The embassy spokeswoman did not have immediate access to the information and calls to prosecutors, the Federal Security Service and the Moscow City Court went unanswered.

Two lawyers contacted Sunday said authorities’ treatment of Miles was within the law.

“If he was unsure, all he had to do was approach a customs official and ask if he should declare the bullets,” Sergei Melnikov, a lawyer who specializes in customs and immigration issues, said on Sunday.

“Checking one box on the declarations form could have saved him all this trouble,” Melnikov added.
=============================================

http://www.openheaven.com/forums/forum_posts.asp?TID=20363&PN=1&TPN=1

http://www.eurotrib.com/comments/2008/2/7/13137/47249/51?mode=alone;showrate=1#51
It is going to be a long 60 days, will most likely be much longer like years.

PS: UPDATE LINK
http://kylekeeton.com/2008/02/russia-update-on-pastor-phillip-miles.html

Kyle & Svet

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World Press says Putin: Best Portrait in the World!

Hello,

Seems to me that: Putin is the Man the World, Loves To Hate or Hates to Love!

========================================
News from Russia Today!

Putin’s portrait judged best in the world:
Time Magazine cover
February 8, 2008

Putin’s portrait judged best in the world
A photo of Putin that graced the cover of Time Magazine has won the prestigious World Press Photo award in the Best Portrait category.

The photo was taken by the British-born photographer known as Platon.
=========================================

Well Putin, you are becoming quite a celebrity!

Kyle

comments always welcome.

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Russia Is Right: OSCE Gave an Ultimatum!

Countries in the OSCE in green

Election observers cancel mission to Russia

AFP, VIENNA
Saturday, Feb 09, 2008

The Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (OSCE) on Thursday canceled its observer missions for Russia’s March 2 presidential election because of restrictions imposed by Moscow.

The OSCE election watchdog and its parliamentary assembly both said they would boycott the vote, which President Vladimir Putin’s designated successor Dmitry Medvedev is virtually guaranteed to win.

Russia’s opposition already alleges Putin is rigging the vote and the absence of Europe’s main election monitoring body will cast further doubt on the legitimacy of the democratic process in Russia.

The OSCE presidency, currently held by Finland, regretted the decision, “despite constructive efforts on both sides.” The chief of the body’s monitoring division blamed “limitations imposed by Russia.”

While Russia had invited the OSCE to come to Moscow, numerous restrictions rendered the invitation worthless, said Christian Strohal, head of the Office for Democratic Institutions and Human Rights, the OSCE polls division.

“We’ve been bending over backwards in order to find a way which would allow at least a limited observation activity,” he said. “This was not possible, not because of us but because of restrictions and limitations imposed by Russia.”

It was like being invited “to come through a door which is locked.”

Russia, like all the OSCE’s 56 members, is meant to invite monitors to assess whether elections are free and fair.

The boycott is a snub to Putin’s government, already embroiled in a slew of conflicts with EU member states ranging from Kosovo’s independence drive to NATO expansion and spying allegations.

The Russian foreign ministry called the boycott “unacceptable” and Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said it was an “ultimatum.”

“Self-respecting countries do not accept ultimatums,” he said.

The EU presidency blamed the boycott on “restrictions contained in the invitation.”

European External Affairs Commissioner Benita Ferrero-Waldner urged the Russian authorities “to make sure that these elections will be conducted in accordance with Russia’s commitments as a member of the OSCE.”

The White House gently reminded Moscow that the presence of the observers was not a black mark against Russia.

“It shouldn’t be seen as a stigma … We think Russia and all countries should feel open enough to allow observers into their country to keep an eye on elections,” a spokesman told reporters.

Russia is frequently critical of the organization, accusing it of bias against countries of the former Soviet Union and calling for a major reform of the body.

=================================================

I am starting to think that the OSCE needs to go to America and observe their election process! Quit picking on Russia! The American election process is the one that is messed up!

Kyle

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Russia: NATO Has Failed: New Arms Race!

Hello,

Looks like the Bear is waking up…..
http://kylekeeton.com/2007/06/russia-wont-take
http://kylekeeton.com/2007/06/this-could-be-why-
http://kylekeeton.com/2007/07/putin-lays-law-do
http://kylekeeton.com/2007/09/russia-father-of-all-
http://kylekeeton.com/2007/11/russia-missiles-and-n
===============================
Russia’s President Vladimir Putin says the world is engaged in a new arms race and Nato is failing to accommodate Russia’s concerns.

In an address to parliament, Mr Putin condemned Nato’s expansion and the US plan to include Poland and the Czech Republic in a missile defense shield.

“It is already clear that a new phase in the arms race is unfolding in the world,” Mr Putin said.

He said other countries were spending far more than Russia on new weapons.

But Russia would always respond to the challenges of a new arms race by developing more hi-tech weaponry, he said.”

(for rest of article)
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/7234817.stm
=================================

Seems the world is starting to heat up in the politicized sense!….
=================================
New Europe, Old Russia

By Robert Kagan
Wednesday, February 6, 2008; A19

Russia and the European Union are neighbors geographically. But geopolitically they live in different centuries. A 21st-century European Union, with its noble ambition to transcend power politics and build an order based on laws and institutions, confronts a Russia that behaves like a traditional 19th-century power. Both are shaped by their histories. The supranational, legalistic E.U. spirit is a response to the conflicts of the 20th century, when nationalism and power politics twice destroyed the continent. But Vladimir Putin’s Russia, as Ivan Krastev has noted, is driven in part by the perceived failure of “post-national politics” after the Soviet collapse. Europe’s nightmares are the 1930s; Russia’s nightmares are the 1990s. Europe sees the answer to its problems in transcending the nation-state and power. For Russians, the solution is in restoring them.

So what happens when a 21st-century entity faces the challenge of a 19th-century power? The contours of the conflict are already emerging — in diplomatic stand-offs over Kosovo, Ukraine, Georgia and Estonia; in conflicts over gas and oil pipelines; in nasty diplomatic exchanges between Russia and Britain; and in a return to Russian military exercises of a kind not seen since the Cold War.

Europeans are apprehensive, with good reason. They bet, massively, in the 1990s on the primacy of geoeconomics over geopolitics, a new era in which a huge and productive European economy would compete as an equal with the United States and China. They cut back on defense budgets, calculating that soft power was in and that hard power was out. They imagined that the world would come to replicate the European Union, and that when it did, the European Union would be a postmodern superpower.

For a while, it seemed to work. With Russia prostrate, the magnetic attraction of Europe, along with the promise of the American security guarantee, pulled just about every nation in the east into the Western orbit. The appeal of what Robert Cooper called Europe’s “voluntary empire” seemed without limit.

Today, however, European expansion has slowed and perhaps halted, and not just because Europeans balk at taking in Turkey. They also fear resurgent Russia. They realize that by enlarging eastward, Europe acquired a new Eastern problem. Or, rather, the old Eastern problem, the centuries-old contest between Russia and its near neighbors.

It wasn’t a problem when Russia was weak and poor and eager to integrate itself into the West. But Russia is back on its feet, rich and resentful, seeking not to join Europe but to take a special path back to great-power status. Putin laments the fall of the Soviet Union and seeks to regain predominant influence in the Baltic states and Eastern Europe, as well as over Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova and the rest of what Russians call their “near abroad.” But the former are now formally part of Europe, and the latter are what Europeans call their “new neighborhood.”

And so the nations of the European Union find themselves embroiled in a very 19th-century confrontation. After a decade of voluntary retreat, Russia now pushes back against Europe’s powerful attractive force, using traditional levers of power. It has imposed a total embargo on trade with Georgia. It has episodically denied oil supplies to Lithuania, Latvia and Belarus; cut off gas supplies to Ukraine and Moldova; and punished Estonia with a suspension of rail traffic and a cyber-attack on its government’s computer system in a dispute over a Soviet war memorial. It supports separatist movements in Georgia and keeps its own armed forces on Georgian territory and in Moldova. It has effectively pulled out of the Conventional Forces in Europe Treaty, freeing it to deploy forces wherever necessary on its western flank.

Polls show Europeans increasingly take a dim view of their large neighbor. French President Nicolas Sarkozy observed last year that “Russia is imposing its return on the world scene by playing its assets, notably oil and gas, with a certain brutality.” Even the Finnish defense minister worries that “military force” has once again become a “key element” in how Russia “conducts its international relations.”

But Europe may be institutionally and temperamentally ill-equipped to respond. Can it bring a knife to a knife fight?

It is not hard to imagine the tremors along the Euro-Russian fault line erupting into confrontation. A crisis over Ukraine, which wants to join NATO, could bring confrontation with Russia. Conflict between the Georgian government and Russian-supported separatist forces in Abkhazia and South Ossetia could spark a military conflict between Tbilisi and Moscow. What would Europe and the United States do if Russia played hardball in Ukraine or Georgia? They might well do nothing. Postmodern Europe can scarcely bring itself to contemplate a return to confrontation with a great power and will go to great lengths to avoid it. In the United States, any fundamental shift in policy toward Russia will have to wait for the next administration. Nevertheless, a Russian confrontation with Ukraine or Georgia would usher in a brand-new world, or perhaps a very old world. Many in the West still want to believe this is the era of geoeconomics. But as one Swedish analyst has noted, “We’re in a new era of geopolitics. You can’t pretend otherwise.”
===========================================

Kyle

comments always welcome.

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